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Crypto Whipsaw: BTC Bounces, XRP Slips Below $1.40 $BTC

Bitcoin Recovers After Sub-$77K Dip

Bitcoin (BTC) staged a sharp recovery on Saturday, August 29, after briefly sliding below $77,000 earlier in the session. The dip followed Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, which rattled risk assets across the board. By midday, BTC had clawed back above $78,500, though volatility remains elevated.

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization shed over $80 billion in the aftermath of Warsh’s speech, according to data from CoinGecko. The sell-off was broad-based, but Bitcoin’s bounce suggests buyers are stepping in at lower levels, a pattern seen in previous macro-driven drawdowns.

XRP Breaks Below Key $1.40 Support

XRP, the fifth-largest cryptocurrency, fell below the psychological $1.40 mark on Friday, August 28, and continued to trade under that level on Saturday. The token has been underperforming Bitcoin over the past week, down roughly 6% while BTC is nearly flat. The breakdown has put focus on the next support zone near $1.30, a level that held during the July consolidation.

Traders are watching whether XRP can reclaim $1.40 quickly; a failure to do so could open the door to a deeper correction. On-chain data from Santiment shows increased exchange inflows for XRP, hinting that some holders are moving tokens to sell, though the metric is not yet at panic levels.

Warsh’s Rate Stance Drives Risk-Off Flow

Kevin Warsh’s speech on Friday, August 28, signaled a more hawkish tilt than markets had priced. He emphasized the need to keep interest rates restrictive until inflation is clearly on a path to 2%, pushing back against expectations of near-term cuts. That triggered a sell-off in risk assets, with crypto leading the decline due to its high beta.

The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100, which had eased in July, spiked to 0.65 on Friday, according to data from IntoTheBlock. This suggests that macro factors, not crypto-specific news, are dominating price action. The dollar index (DXY) also strengthened 0.4% on Friday, adding pressure on crypto prices.

What Would Confirm a Deeper Correction?

For Bitcoin, the immediate test is whether it can hold above $77,000 on a daily close. If it slips back below that level, the next major support sits at $74,500, a zone that has been tested multiple times since June. A sustained break below $74,500 would likely trigger a wave of liquidations, as leveraged longs have accumulated near those lows.

For XRP, the key level to watch is $1.30. If that support fails, the token could slide to $1.18, its May low. Conversely, a rapid reclaim of $1.40 would signal that the breakdown was a false move, a scenario that could attract dip buyers.

Investors should also monitor the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting on September 15-16. Any shift in rate expectations or commentary from Fed officials could either calm or exacerbate the current volatility. Until then, expect choppy trading with a bearish bias, as the market digests the implications of Warsh’s hawkish stance.

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