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Will Bitcoin Hit $208,000? Insights from the Expert Who Predicted Its Peak

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Will Bitcoin Hit $208,000? Insights from the Expert Who Predicted Its Peak

In the latest expert news from the cryptocurrency world, Ki Young Ju, the chief executive of CryptoQuant, has reignited discussions around Bitcoin’s price potential. Ju’s fresh analysis suggests that Bitcoin could soar to an upper limit of approximately $208,000 per coin. In a recent post on X, he expressed his bullish sentiment, stating, “Nobody cares about my calls anymore, but just saying I’m bullish on Bitcoin. Too much capital inflows on-chain. Way too much.”

This statement echoes Ju’s earlier predictions from early 2024 when he forecasted that Bitcoin might reach $112,000, driven by significant ETF inflows, with a worst-case scenario of $55,000. Remarkably, his earlier framework proved quite accurate, as Bitcoin registered a peak just above $108,000, positioning it close to his initial projection.

Understanding the $208,000 Price Projection

On September 18, Ju shared a detailed chart based on CryptoQuant’s “Price Prediction Based on Realized Cap” methodology. This chart illustrates three key price metrics: the current spot price of Bitcoin (black), a theoretical “ceiling price” (red), and a “floor price” (green). As of September 17, 2025 (UTC), the chart indicated a spot price of $116,453, a ceiling of $208,310, and a floor of $41,662. This data suggests that Bitcoin is currently situated well above its inferred floor but still significantly below the upper band considered as an overvaluation zone.

The implications of Ju’s analysis are noteworthy. While he does not guarantee that Bitcoin will reach this ceiling, he highlights that the current on-chain capital inflows and the realized-cap structure provide the market with the potential to approach the $208,000 mark. The realized cap methodology values Bitcoin based on the price at which each coin last moved on-chain, rather than its current market value. This approach tends to reflect the historical cost basis of investors and offers insights into market dynamics.

Market Dynamics and Demand Pressure

Ju’s renewed optimism is linked to what he describes as surging demand pressures, particularly from settlement flows and ETF-related capital migration onto the network. His analysis draws continuity from his previous comments in February 2024, where he identified ETF inflows as a key factor driving Bitcoin towards the six-figure range. Currently, he emphasizes that “too much capital inflows on-chain” could propel Bitcoin toward the projected ceiling of $208,000.

It is essential to note that Ju’s analysis is not an open-ended forecast but rather a model snapshot that adapts to market conditions. The same dashboard that indicates a ceiling of $208,310 also sets a risk floor at $41,662, highlighting the varied potential outcomes considered within the realized-cap framework. His previous prediction regarding Bitcoin’s trajectory toward $112,000, followed by an actual peak just above $108,000, will likely influence how traders and investors perceive his current insights.

Looking Ahead: Factors Influencing Bitcoin’s Future

Ki Young Ju’s straightforward message is clear: “I’m bullish on Bitcoin.” This perspective is anchored in the same analytical approach he adopted ten months prior to Bitcoin’s peak in 2024. However, whether the market can ultimately approach the projected ceiling of $208,000 will depend on several critical factors, including the evolution of on-chain inflows, macroeconomic liquidity conditions, and demand from ETFs and corporate treasuries, as well as miner supply behavior.

What Ju’s chart illustrates is that, according to CryptoQuant’s realized-cap bands, Bitcoin has yet to test the upper limits of its statistical range during this market cycle. As of now, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $116,173.

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In conclusion, Ju’s analytical perspective provides a fascinating lens through which to view Bitcoin’s market dynamics, and his insights are likely to shape the discourse as investors navigate this volatile landscape.

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