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Analyst Predicts XRP to Dip to $1.55 Before Soaring

$XRP

#XRP #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #ElliottWave #Trading #Cryptocurrency #Investing #Finance

### XRP News: A Potential Decline Before a Surge?

As XRP ascends above a crucial descending trendline that has previously stalled rallies since February, market dynamics hint that this breakout might not sustain. Independent market technician CasiTrades highlights that derivatives positioning could trigger a downturn. Currently, XRP’s price on the four-hour Binance chart is hovering around $2.32, slightly above the upper boundary of the wedge. However, it’s perilously close to losing these gains if leveraged positions begin to unwind.

### Imminent Risks and Elliott Wave Analysis

CasiTrades uses Elliott Wave theory to explain the price movements of XRP. According to her analysis, the rally from January to June ended a first wave at approximately $2.70, followed by a correction to $2.02 at the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, marking the second wave. The recent push above resistance might signify the start of the third wave, yet the optimism is clouded by current funding dynamics.

“We are approaching the peak of XRP’s macro consolidation, with the price just above support and funding rates increasing,” Casi noted on social media platform X. This scenario presents a high risk. If the eight-hour funding rates, which have already reached 0.01%, climb to 0.02% without a corresponding strong price movement, it could lead to a significant drop as algorithms target the liquidity below $2.25.

### Potential Price Targets and Market Reactions

If funding rates continue to rise without substantial price action, Casi warns of a potential sweep that could push XRP’s price down to $2.01, $1.90, and possibly even $1.55. “A drop below $2.25 could trigger these levels,” she added, suggesting that such a capitulation could be what is necessary for a robust third-wave breakout.

Despite the breakout above the significant black trendline, the market sentiment remains mixed. The fourteen-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing lower peaks while the price slightly increases, indicating a possible bearish divergence. Nonetheless, if sellers cannot quickly regain control below this trendline, Casi projects a third wave could reach as high as $3.77, following the classic 1.618 external Fibonacci extension, with potentials reaching above $4.40 later this year.

### What’s Next for XRP?

The crypto market is poised at a critical juncture. Either increasing funding rates will drive a downward liquidity sweep toward $1.55 before propelling XRP to higher levels, or the cryptocurrency will stabilize above $2.25, setting the stage for a climb towards $2.69, near $3.04, and potentially hitting the $3.77 target in wave three. As of now, XRP is priced at $2.25.

For more detailed insights, you can explore further on Binance and stay updated with the latest crypto news.

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